for Yuan Shi-kai, single-handed, to restore order and consolidate the country.  The result will be that the nation will be cut up into many parts beyond all hope of remedy.  That this state of affairs will come is not difficult to foresee.  When this occurs, shall we uphold Yuan’s Government and assist him to suppress the internal insurrection with the certain assurance that we could influence him to agree to our demands, or shall we help the revolutionists to achieve a success and realize our object through them?  This question must be definitely decided upon this very moment so that we may put it into practical execution.  If we do not look into the future fate of China but go blindly to uphold Yuan’s Government, to enter into a Defensive Alliance with China, hoping thus to secure a complete realization of our object by assisting him to suppress the revolutionists, it is obviously a wrong policy.  Why?  Because the majority of the Chinese people have lost all faith in the tottering Yuan Shi-kai who is discredited and attacked by the whole nation for having sold his country.  If Japan gives Yuan the support, his Government, though in a very precarious state, may possibly avoid destruction.  Yuan Shi-kai belongs to that school of politicians who are fond of employing craftiness and cunning.  He may be friendly to us for a time, but he will certainly abandon us and again befriend the other Powers when the European war is at an end.  Judging by his past we have no doubt as to what he will do in the future.  For Japan to ignore the general sentiment of the Chinese people and support Yuan Shi-kai with the hope that we can settle with him the Chinese Question is a blunder indeed.  Therefore in order to secure the permanent peace of the Far East, instead of supporting a Chinese Government which can neither be long continued in power nor assist in the attainment of our object, we should rather support the 400,000,000 Chinese people to renovate their corrupt Government, to change its present form, to maintain peace and order in the land and to usher into China a new era of prosperity so that China and Japan may in fact as well as in name be brought into the most intimate and vital relations with each other.  China’s era of prosperity is based on the China-Japanese Alliance and this Alliance is the foundational power for the repelling of the foreign aggression that is to be directed against the Far East at the conclusion of the European war.  This Alliance is also the foundation-stone of the peace of the world.  Japan therefore should take this as the last warning and immediately solve this question.  Since the Imperial Japanese Government has considered it imperative to support the Chinese people, we should induce the Chinese revolutionists, the Imperialists and other Chinese malcontents to create trouble all over China.  The whole country will be thrown into disorder and Yuan’s Government will consequently be overthrown.  We shall then select a man from amongst the most influential and