you are, inform yourself minutely of, and attend particularly
to the affairs of France; they grow serious, and in
my opinion will grow more and more so every day.
The King is despised and I do not wonder at it; but
he has brought it about to be hated at the same time,
which seldom happens to the same man. His ministers
are known to be as disunited as incapable; he hesitates
between the Church and the parliaments, like the ass
in the fable, that starved between two hampers of
hay: too much in love with his mistress to part
with her, and too much afraid of his soul to enjoy
her; jealous of the parliaments, who would support
his authority; and a devoted bigot to the Church,
that would destroy it. The people are poor, consequently
discontented; those who have religion, are divided
in their notions of it; which is saying that they
hate one another. The clergy never do forgive;
much less will they forgive the parliament; the parliament
never will forgive them. The army must, without
doubt, take, in their own minds at last, different
parts in all these disputes, which upon occasion would
break out. Armies, though always the supporters
and tools of absolute power for the time being, are
always the destroyers of it, too, by frequently changing
the hands in which they think proper to lodge it.
This was the case of the Praetorian bands, who deposed
and murdered the monsters they had raised to oppress
mankind. The Janissaries in turkey, and the regiments
of guards in Russia, do the same now. The French
nation reasons freely, which they never did before,
upon matters of religion and government, and begin
to be ‘sprejiudicati’; the officers do
so too; in short, all the symptoms, which I have ever
met with in history previous to great changes and
revolutions in government, now exist, and daily increase,
in France. I am glad of it; the rest of Europe
will be the quieter, and have time to recover.
England, I am sure, wants rest, for it wants men and
money; the Republic of the United Provinces wants both
still more; the other Powers cannot well dance, when
neither France, nor the maritime powers, can, as they
used to do, pay the piper. The first squabble
in Europe, that I foresee, will be about the Crown
of Poland, should the present King die: and therefore
I wish his Majesty a long life and a merry Christmas.
So much for foreign politics; but ‘a propos’
of them, pray take care, while you are in those parts
of Germany, to inform yourself correctly of all the
details, discussions, and agreements, which the several
wars, confiscations, bans, and treaties, occasioned
between the Bavarian and Palatine Electorates; they
are interesting and curious.
I shall not, upon the occasion of the approaching new year, repeat to you the wishes which I continue to form for you; you know them all already, and you know that it is absolutely in your power to satisfy most of them. Among many other wishes, this is my most earnest one: That you would open the new year with a most solemn and devout sacrifice to the Graces; who never reject those that supplicate them with fervor; without them, let me tell you, that your friend Dame Fortune will stand you in little stead; may they all be your friends! Adieu.