but by acute and profound thinkers, as an incumbrance
which would permanently cripple the body politic;
Nevertheless trade flourished; wealth increased; the
nation became richer and richer. Then came the
war of the Austrian Succession; and the debt rose
to eighty millions. Pamphleteers, historians
and orators pronounced that now, at all events, our
case was desperate. Yet the signs of increasing
prosperity, signs which could neither be counterfeited
nor concealed, ought to have satisfied observant and
reflecting men that a debt of eighty millions was
less to the England which was governed by Pelham than
a debt of fifty millions had been to the England which
was governed by Oxford. Soon war again broke forth;
and, under the energetic and prodigal administration
of the first William Pitt, the debt rapidly swelled
to a hundred and forty millions. As soon as the
first intoxication of victory was over, men of theory
and men of business almost unanimously pronounced
that the fatal day had now really arrived. The
only statesman, indeed, active or speculative, who
did not share in the general delusion was Edmund Burke.
David Hume, undoubtedly one of the most profound political
economists of his time, declared that our madness
had exceeded the madness of the Crusaders. Richard
Coeur de Lion and Saint Lewis had not gone in the
face of arithmetical demonstration. It was impossible
to prove by figures that the road to Paradise did
not lie through the Holy Land; but it was possible
to prove by figures that the road to national ruin
was through the national debt. It was idle, however,
now to talk about the road; we had done with the road;
we had reached the goal; all was over; all the revenues
of the island north of Trent and west of Reading were
mortgaged. Better for us to have been conquered
by Prussia or Austria than to be saddled with the
interest of a hundred and forty millions.370 And yet
this great philosopher—for such he was—had
only to open his eyes, and to see improvement all
around him, cities increasing, cultivation extending,
marts too small for the crowd of buyers and sellers,
harbours insufficient to contain the shipping, artificial
rivers joining the chief inland seats of industry
to the chief seaports, streets better lighted, houses
better furnished, richer wares exposed to sale in
statelier shops, swifter carriages rolling along smoother
roads. He had, indeed, only to compare the Edinburgh
of his boyhood with the Edinburgh of his old age.
His prediction remains to posterity, a memorable instance
of the weakness from which the strongest minds are
not exempt. Adam Smith saw a little and but a
little further. He admitted that, immense as
the burden was, the nation did actually sustain it
and thrive under it in a way which nobody could have
foreseen. But he warned his countrymen not to
repeat so hazardous an experiment. The limit
had been reached. Even a small increase might
be fatal.371 Not less gloomy was the view which George