army corps and the troops of Turkestan to the Afghan
frontier. I would undertake, within four weeks
of the outbreak of war, to mass a sufficient field
army in Afghanistan round Herat. Our first army
can then be followed by a ceaseless stream of regiments
and batteries. The reserves of the Russian army
are inexhaustible, and we could place, if needs be,
four million soldiers and more than half a million
of horses in the field. However, I am more than
doubtful whether England would meet us in Afghanistan.
The English generals would not, in any case, be well
advised to leave India. Were they defeated in
Afghanistan only small fragments of their army at most
would escape back to India. The Afghans would
show no mercy to a fleeing English army and would
destroy it, as has happened on a previous occasion.
If, on the other hand, which God forbid! the fortune
of war should turn against us, we should always find
a line of retreat to Turkestan open and be able to
renew the attack at pleasure. If the English
army is defeated, then India is lost to Great Britain;
for the English are, in India, in the enemy’s
country; as a defeated people they will find no support
in the Indian people. They would be attacked on
all sides by the Indian native chieftains, whose independence
they have so brutally destroyed, at the very moment
that their power is broken. We, on the other
hand, should be received with open arms, as rescuers
of the Indian people from their intolerable yoke.
The Anglo-Indian army looks on paper much more formidable
than it really is; its strength is put at 200,000
men, yet only one-third of this number are English
soldiers, the rest being composed of natives.
This army, moreover, consists of four divisions, which
are scattered over the whole great territory of India.
A field army, for employment on the frontier or across
it, cannot possibly consist of more than 60,000 men;
for, considering the untrustworthiness of the population,
the land cannot be denuded of its garrisons.
As a result of what I have said, I record my conviction
that the war will have to be waged in India itself,
and that God will give us the victory.”
The words of the General, spoken in an energetic and
confident tone, made a deep impression upon his hearers;
only respect for the presence of the Grand Dukes prevented
applause. The greyhaired President gave the Minister
of War his hand, and invited the Minister for Foreign
Affairs to address them.
“In my opinion,” said the diplomatist,
“there is no doubt that the strategical opinions
just delivered by His Excellency the Minister for
War are based upon an expert’s sound and correct
estimate of the circumstances, and I also am certain
that the troops of His Majesty the Tsar, accustomed
as they are to victory, will, in the event of war,
soon be standing upon the plain of the Indus.
It is also my firm conviction that Russia would be
best advised to take the offensive as soon as ever
the impossibility of our present relations to England