20. The New York Tribune, which was edited
by Mr. Horace Greeley, a vigorous writer whose omniscience
was unabated by the variation of his own opinion,
was the one journal of far-reaching influence in the
North; and it only gave exaggerated point to a general
feeling when it declared that the Confederate Congress
must not meet. The Senators and Congressmen now
in Washington were not quite so exacting, but they
had come there unanimous in their readiness to vote
taxes and support the war in every way, and they wanted
to see something done; and they wanted it all the
more because the three months’ service of the
militia was running out. General Scott, still
the chief military adviser of Government, was quite
distinct in his preference for waiting and for perfecting
the discipline and organisation of the volunteers,
who had not yet even been formed into brigades.
On the militia he set no value at all. For long
he refused to countenance any but minor movements
preparatory to a later advance. It is not quite
certain, however, that Congress and public opinion
were wrong in clamouring for action. The Southern
troops were not much, if at all, more ready for use
than the Northerners; and Jefferson Davis and his
military adviser, Lee, desired time for their defensive
preparations. It was perhaps too much to expect
that the country after its great uprising should be
content to give supplies and men without end while
nothing apparently happened; and the spirit of the
troops themselves might suffer more from inaction
than from defeat. A further thought, while it
made defeat seem more dangerous, made battle more
tempting. There was fear that European Powers
might recognise the Southern Confederacy and enter
into relations with it. Whether they did so
depended on whether they were confirmed in their growing
suspicion that the North could not conquer the South.
Balancing the military advice which was given them
as to the risk against this political importunity,
Lincoln and his Cabinet chose the risk, and Scott
at length withdrew his opposition. Lincoln was
possibly more sensitive to pressure than he afterwards
became, more prone to treat himself as a person under
the orders of the people, but there is no reason to
doubt that he acted on his own sober judgment as well
as that of his Cabinet. Whatever degree of confidence
he reposed in Scott, Scott was not very insistent;
the risk was not overwhelming; the battle was very
nearly won, would have been won if the orders of Scott
had been carried out. No very great harm in
fact followed the defeat of Bull Run; and the danger
of inaction was real. He was probably then,
as he certainly was afterwards, profoundly afraid that
the excessive military caution which he often encountered
would destroy the cause of the North by disheartening
the people who supported the war. That is no
doubt a kind of fear to which many statesmen are too
prone, but Lincoln’s sense of real popular feeling
throughout the wide extent of the North is agreed
to have been uncommonly sure. Definite judgment
on such a question is impossible, but probably Lincoln
and his Cabinet were wise.