said, perhaps more elaborately, the same. If
Lincoln had not stood square upon that platform there
were others like Senator Wade of Ohio and Senator
Grimes of Iowa who might have done so and might have
been able to wreck the compromise. Lincoln,
however, did wreck it, at a time when it seemed likely
to succeed, and it is most probable that thereby he
caused the Civil War. It cannot be said that
he definitely expected the Civil War. Probably
he avoided making any definite forecast; but he expressed
no alarm, and he privately told a friend about this
time that “he could not in his heart believe
that the South designed the overthrow of the Government.”
But, if he had in his heart believed it, nothing
in his life gives reason to think that he would have
been more anxious to conciliate the South; on the contrary,
it is in line with all we know of his feelings to
suppose that he would have thought firmness all the
more imperative. We cannot recall the solemnity
of his long-considered speech about “a house
divided against itself,” with which all his
words and acts accorded, without seeing that, if perhaps
he speculated little about the risks, he was prepared
to face them whatever they were. Doubtless he
took a heavy responsibility, but it is painful to
find honourable historians, who heartily dislike the
cause of slavery, capable to-day of wondering whether
he was right to do so. “If he had not
stood square” in December upon the same “platform”
on which he had stood in May, if he had preferred
to enroll himself among those statesmen of all countries
whose strongest words are uttered for their own subsequent
enjoyment in eating them, he might conceivably have
saved much bloodshed, but he would not have left the
United States a country of which any good man was
proud to be a citizen.
Thus, by the end of 1860, the bottom was really out
of the policy of compromise, and it is not worth while
to examine the praiseworthy efforts that were still
made for it while State after State in the South was
deciding to secede. One interesting proposal,
which was aired in January, 1861, deserves notice,
namely, that the terms of compromise proposed by Crittenden
should have been submitted to a vote of the whole
people. It was not passed. Seward, whom
many people now thought likely to catch at any and
every proposal for a settlement, said afterwards with
justice that it was “unconstitutional and ineffectual.”
Ineffectual it would have been in this sense:
the compromise would in all probability have been
carried by a majority consisting of men in the border
States and of all those elsewhere who, though they
feared war and desired good feeling, had no further
definite opinion upon the chief questions at issue;
but it would have left a local majority in many of
the Southern States and a local majority in many of
the Northern States as irreconcilable with each other
as ever. It was opposed also to the spirit of
the Constitution. In a great country where the