“We are satisfied that Servia would punish the murderers of Prince Ferdinand if we so requested.  We are satisfied she would apologize to Austria if we requested it.  But our aims go beyond.  We demand that instead of the proposed Turkish treaty the Balkan states shall come into union with Turkey under the influence of Austria.  To accomplish this we must accept no apology, but must punish Servia.  We are satisfied that Russia is in no financial or military position to interfere.”

Germany with its enormous spy system had secured copies of the confidential state papers of the Czar and transmitted them to Vienna.  In these were warnings, statistics, and compilations showing all the financial and military weaknesses of Russia:  that her great gold reserve had been largely loaned out and was not available cash on hand, as the world had been led to believe; that it would take eighteen months more of preparation to place her military forces in position to defend the country; that her arms and the factories to build them were not ready.

The plans of Austria and Germany were to line up the Balkan states, under German political and trade influences, and then within two years to have it out with Russia and again impose the German tariffs upon her.  If France dared to come in, it would certainly be an attack, and Italy would, under the Triple Alliance, assist to defend Austria and Germany.  Defeating Russia, Germany could, at that time or later, crush France in the manner in which Bismarck had said she might eventually be crushed by Germany for Germany’s progress.

Then, having made more onerous tariff treaties with France than were exacted from her in 1870 and having extended German trade and military influence over Russia, Germany would be in a position with her navy to try out the long desired issue with Great Britain for the control of the seas.

Admiral Von Tirpitz told the emperor that it must be at least two years more before the German navy would be able to try conclusions with England.

The German plan was to take the European countries one at a time.  The German information was that every country except Germany was unprepared, and that information was true.  She was fully prepared except in her navy.

One of the leaders among those great business Lords of England, who sit with the Commoners in business, but in the House of Lords as respects legislation, said to me when I spoke of the wonderful intelligence of Germany in research and data, scientific and political:  “But, don’t you think that the Germans had too much information and too little judgment?”