in his good fortune, and in his ability to turn unforeseen
accidents to his own advantage, or at least to render
them harmless. Rarely has a general been so highly
favoured by fortune for a long series of years as he.
It is no wonder then that this confidence at length
increased to such a degree as frequently to become
the height of temerity. In Russia, Napoleon met
with many circumstances which he had not taken into
his calculation; but he nevertheless penetrated to
Moscow. Here he for the first time experienced
such a reverse as no general ever yet sustained.
His immense army was entirely annihilated. His
stern decree created a new one, to all outward appearance
equally formidable. From the haste with which
its component parts were collected, it could not but
be deficient in intrinsic energy, and it was impossible
to doubt that this would be shewn in time. In
this respect his antagonists had a decided advantage,
as must have been obvious to him after the battles
of Luetzen and Bautzen. Had he not been so vastly
superior in number to the Russian and Prussian army
in the first engagement, he would indisputably have
been defeated on that occasion.—The political
relations of Europe had moreover undergone an extraordinary
change. He could not for a thousand reasons be
a moment doubtful of the choice of Austria. If
with a strong and well-appointed army she could not
by negotiation bring about a peace upon the basis
of a future balance of power among the principal states
of Europe, in which Prussia and Russia were willing
to acquiesce, there could be no question that for
the sake of her own existence she would espouse the
cause of those two powers. This Napoleon seems
to have considered as impossible, or the advantages
already obtained must have inspired him with the confidence
that even the accession of Austria to the alliance
could not prevent the prosecution of his victorious
career to the Vistula. Could he have expected
to encounter the whole Austrian army in Silesia, or
to reduce the fortresses of Upper Silesia, with such
rapidity as to be able a third time to menace Vienna,
and to compel the force assembled on the Bohemian
frontiers to return with precipitation to cover the
capital? This would have been too presumptuous
an idea. He probably fancied himself strong enough,
with 400,000 men, led on by himself and the ablest
generals of the age, to cope, if even Austria should
declare against him, with all three powers; especially
if he presumed that he should be able to force all
the combined armies united to a general engagement,
and to annihilate them with a single blow. The
proposals for peace were rejected: not the slightest
disposition was shewn to treat, and the armistice
of two months answered no other purpose than to convince
Austria of the absolute necessity of joining the cause
of the allies, and exerting all her energies to conquer
that peace by the sword, which there was not the least
hope of accomplishing by negotiation. By the