in one market to other markets, has gradually brought
the single minor crises nearer together and united
them into one periodically recurring crisis.
Such a crisis usually recurs once in five years after
a brief period of activity and general prosperity;
the home market, like all foreign ones, is glutted
with English goods, which it can only slowly absorb,
the industrial movement comes to a standstill in almost
every branch, the small manufacturers and merchants
who cannot survive a prolonged inactivity of their
invested capital fail, the larger ones suspend business
during the worst season, close their mills or work
short time, perhaps half the day; wages fall by reason
of the competition of the unemployed, the diminution
of working-time and the lack of profitable sales;
want becomes universal among the workers, the small
savings, which individuals may have made, are rapidly
consumed, the philanthropic institutions are overburdened,
the poor-rates are doubled, trebled, and still insufficient,
the number of the starving increases, and the whole
multitude of “surplus” population presses
in terrific numbers into the foreground. This
continues for a time; the “surplus” exist
as best they may, or perish; philanthropy and the
Poor Law help many of them to a painful prolongation
of their existence. Others find scant means of
subsistence here and there in such kinds of work as
have been least open to competition, are most remote
from manufacture. And with how little can a
human being keep body and soul together for a time!
Gradually the state of things improve; the accumulations
of goods are consumed, the general depression among
the men of commerce and manufacture prevents a too
hasty replenishing of the markets, and at last rising
prices and favourable reports from all directions
restore activity. Most of the markets are distant
ones; demand increases and prices rise constantly
while the first exports are arriving; people struggle
for the first goods, the first sales enliven trade
still more, the prospective ones promise still higher
prices; expecting a further rise, merchants begin to
buy upon speculation, and so to withdraw from consumption
the articles intended for it, just when they are most
needed. Speculation forces prices still higher,
by inspiring others to purchase, and appropriating
new importations at once. All this is reported
to England, manufacturers begin to produce with a
will, new mills are built, every means is employed
to make the most of the favourable moment. Speculation
arises here, too, exerting the same influence as upon
foreign markets, raising prices, withdrawing goods
from consumption, spurring manufacture in both ways
to the highest pitch of effort. Then come the
daring speculators working with fictitious capital,
living upon credit, ruined if they cannot speedily
sell; they hurl themselves into this universal, disorderly
race for profits, multiply the disorder and haste by
their unbridled passion, which drives prices and production