great deeds of men before them whom consciously or unconsciously they take for models, the codes they are reared by, and the chances that they think they see.  These influences shaped Alexander and Caesar, and they shaped you and me.  Now every monarch on the Continent has behind him the Napoleonic example.  “Can I do that?” crosses the mind of every one.  Of course every one thinks of himself as doing it beneficently—­for the good of the world.  Napoleon, himself, persuaded himself of his benevolent intentions, and the devil of it was he persuaded other people also.  Now the only monarch in Europe in our time who thought he had a chance is your friend in Berlin.  When he told you last year (1914) that of course he didn’t want war, but that he was “ready,” that’s what he meant.  A similar ambition, of course, comes into the mind of every professional soldier of the continent who rises to eminence.  In Berlin you have both—­the absolute monarch and the military class of ambitious soldiers and their fighting machine.  Behind these men walks the Napoleonic ambition all the time, just as in the United States we lie down every night in George Washington’s feather-bed of no entangling alliances.

Then remember, too, that the German monarchy is a cross between the Napoleonic ambition and its inheritance from Frederick the Great and Bismarck.  I suppose the three damnedest liars that were ever born are these three—­old Frederick, Napoleon, and Bismarck—­not, I take it, because they naturally loved lying, but because the game they played constantly called for lying.  There was no other way to play it:  they had to fool people all the time.  You have abundant leisure—­do this:  Read the whole career of Napoleon and write down the startling and exact parallels that you will find there to what is happening to-day.  The French were united and patriotic, just as the Germans now are.  When they invaded other people’s territory, they said they were attacked and that the other people had brought on war.  They had their lying diplomats, their corruption funds; they levied money on cities and states; they took booty; and they were God’s elect.  It’s a wonderful parallel—­not strangely, because the game is the same and the moral methods are the same.  Only the tools are somewhat different—­the submarine, for example.  Hence the Lusitania disaster (not disavowed, you will observe), the Arabic disaster, the propaganda, underground and above, in the United States.  And there’ll be more.  The Napoleonic Wars were about eleven years long.  I fancy that we shall have war and wars from this attempt to dominate Europe, for perhaps as long a period.  The Balkans can’t be quieted by this war only, nor Russia and Italy perhaps.  And Germany may have a series of earthquakes herself—­internal explosions.  Then Poland and perhaps some of the Scandinavian States.  Nobody can tell.

I cannot express my admiration of the