no business has been yet begun, no votes as yet taken,
this calculation cannot be considered as sure.
A middle proposition is talked of, to form the two
privileged orders into one chamber. It is thought
more possible to bring them into it, than the
Tiers-Etat.
Another proposition is, to distinguish questions,
referring those of certain descriptions to a vote by
persons, others to a vote by orders. This seems
to admit of endless altercation, and the
Tiers-Etat
manifest no respect for that, or any other modification
whatever. Were this single question accommodated,
I am of opinion, there would not occur the least difficulty
in the great and essential points of constitutional
reformation. But on this preliminary question
the parties are so irreconcilable, that it is impossible
to foresee what issue it will have. The
Tiers-Etat,
as constituting the nation, may propose to do the
business of the nation, either with or without the
minorities in the Houses of Clergy and Nobles, which
side with them. In that case, if the King should
agree to it, the majorities in those two Houses would
secede, and might resist the tax-gatherers. This
would bring on a civil war. On the other hand,
the privileged orders, offering to submit to equal
taxation, may propose to the King to continue the
government in its former train, resuming to himself
the power of taxation. Here, the tax-gatherers
might be resisted by the people. In fine, it
is but too possible, that between parties so animated,
the King may incline the balance as he pleases.
Happy that he is an honest, unambitious man, who desires
neither money nor power for himself; and that his
most operative minister, though he has appeared to
trim a little, is still, in the main, a friend to public
liberty.
I mentioned to you in a former letter, the construction
which our bankers at Amsterdam had put on the resolution
of Congress, appropriating the last Dutch loan, by
which the money for our captives would not be furnished
till the end of the year 1790. Orders from the
board of treasury have now settled this question.
The interest of the next month is to be first paid,
and after that, the money for the captives and foreign
officers is to be furnished, before any other payment
of interest. This insures it when the next February
interest becomes payable. My representations
to them, on account of the contracts I had entered
into for making the medals, have produced from them
the money for that object, which is lodged in the
hands of Mr. Grand.
Mr. Necker, in his discourse, proposes among his bonifications
of revenue, the suppression of our two free ports
of Bayonne and L’Orient, which, he says, occasion
a loss of six hundred thousand livres annually, to
the crown, by contraband. (The speech being not yet
printed, I state this only as it struck my ear when
he delivered it. If I have mistaken it, I beg
you to receive this as my apology, and to consider
what follows, as written on that idea only.) I have