parliament might excite, and committing them with the
nation. The
Notables are now in session.
The government had manifestly discovered a disposition
that the
Tiers-Etat, or Commons, should have
as many representatives in the States General, as
the Nobility and Clergy together: but five Bureaux
of the
Notables have voted by very great majorities,
that they should have only an equal number with each
of the other orders singly. One bureau, by a
majority of a single voice, had agreed to give the
Commons the double number of representatives.
This is the first symptom of a decided combination
between the Nobility and Clergy, and will necessarily
throw the people into the scale of the King.
It is doubted, whether the States can be called so
early as January, though the government, urged by
the want of money, is for pressing the convocation.
It is still more uncertain what the States will do
when they meet: there are three objects which
they may attain, probably without opposition from
the court; 1. A periodical meeting of the States;
2. their exclusive right of taxation; 3. the right
of en-registering laws and proposing amendments to
them, as now exercised by the parliaments. This
would lead, as it did in England, to the right of
originating laws. The parliament would, by the
last measure, be reduced to a mere judiciary body,
and would probably oppose it. But against the
King and nation their opposition could not succeed.
If the States stop here, for the present moment, all
will probably end well, and they may, in future sessions,
obtain a suppression of
lettres de cachet,
a free press, a civil list, and other valuable mollifications
of their government. But it is to be feared, that
an impatience to rectify every thing at once, which
prevails in some minds, may terrify the court, and
lead them to appeal to force, and to depend on that
alone.
Before this can reach you, you will probably have
heard of an Arret, passed the 28th of September,
for prohibiting the introduction of foreign whale-oils,
without exception. The English had glutted the
markets of this country with their oils: it was
proposed to exclude them, and an Arret was
drawn, with an exception for us: in the last
stage of the Arret, the exception was struck
out, without my having any warning, or even suspicion
of this. I suspect this stroke came from the
Count de la Luzerne, minister of marine; but I cannot
affirm it positively. As soon as I was apprized
of this, which was several days after it passed (because
it was kept secret till published in their seaports),
I wrote to the Count de Montmorin a letter, of which
the enclosed is a copy, and had conferences on the
subject, from time to time, with him and the other
ministers. I found them prepossessed by the partial
information of their Dunkirk fishermen; and therefore
thought it necessary to give them a view of the whole
subject in writing, which I did, in the piece, of