She folds her arms, lets the two empires go to work
to cut up Turkey as they can, and holds Prussia aloof,
neither as a friend nor foe. This is withdrawing
her opposition from the two empires, without the benefit
of any condition whatever. In the mean time,
England has clearly overreached herself. She excited
the war between the Russians and Turks, in hopes that
France, still supporting the Turks, would be embarrassed
with the two empires. She did not foresee the
event which has taken place, of France abandoning the
Turks, and that which may take place, of her union
with the two empires. She allied herself with
Holland, but cannot obtain the alliance of Prussia.
This latter power would be very glad to close again
the breach with France, and therefore, while there
remains an opening for this, holds off from England,
whose fleets could not enter into Silesia, to protect
that from the Emperor. Thus you see, that the
old system is unhinged, and no new one hung in its
place. Probabilities are rather in favor of a
connection between the two empires, France, and Spain.
Several symptoms show themselves, of friendly dispositions
between Russia and France, unfriendly ones between
Russia and England, and such as are barely short of
hostility between England and France. But into
real hostilities, this country would with difficulty
be drawn. Her finances are too deranged, her
internal union too much dissolved, to hazard a war.
The nation is pressing on fast, to a fixed constitution.
Such a revolution in the public opinion has taken place,
that the crown already feels its powers bounded, and
is obliged, by its measures, to acknowledge limits.
A States-General will be called at some epoch not
distant; they will probably establish a civil list,
and leave the government to temporary provisions of
money, so as to render frequent assemblies of the national
representative necessary. How that representative
will be organized, is yet uncertain. Among a
thousand projects, the best seems to me, that of dividing
them into two Houses, of Commons and Nobles; the Commons
to be chosen by the Provincial Assemblies, who are
chosen themselves by the people, and the Nobles by
the body of Noblesse, as in Scotland. But
there is no reason to conjecture, that this is the
particular scheme which will be preferred.
The war between the Russians and Turks has made an
opening for our Commodore Paul Jones. The Empress
has invited him into her service. She insures
to him the rank of rear-admiral; will give him a separate
command, and it is understood, that he is never to
be commanded. I think she means to oppose him
to the Captain Pacha, on the Black Sea. He is
by this time, probably, at St. Petersburg. The
circumstances did not permit his awaiting the permission
of Congress, because the season was close at hand
for opening the campaign. But he has made it a
condition, that he shall be free at all times to return
to the orders of Congress, whenever they shall please