appearance in the country from which I write, we must
conclude that its tragedy is wound up. The triumph
appears complete, and tranquillity perfectly established.
The numbers who have emigrated are differently estimated,
from twenty to forty thousand. A little before
I left Paris, I received a piece of intelligence,
which should be communicated, leaving you to lay what
stress on it, it may seem to deserve. Its authenticity
may be surely relied on. At the time of the late
pacification, Spain had about fifteen ships of the
line nearly ready for sea. The convention for
disarming did not extend to her, nor did she disarm.
This gave inquietude to the court of London, and they
demanded an explanation. One was given, they
say, which is perfectly satisfactory. The Russian
minister at Versailles, getting knowledge of this,
became suspicious on his part. He recollected
that Spain, during the late war, had been opposed
to the entrance of a Russian fleet into the Mediterranean,
and concluded, if England was not the object of this
armament, Russia might be. It is known that that
power means to send a fleet of about twenty-four ships
into the Mediterranean this summer. He sent to
the Count de Montmorin, and expressed his apprehensions.
The Count de Montmorin declared, that the object of
Spain in that armament was totally different; that
he was not sure she would succeed; but that France
and Spain were to be considered as one, and that the
former would become guarantee for the latter, that
she would make no opposition to the Russian fleet.
If neither England nor Russia be the object, the question
recurs, Who is it for? You know best, if our affairs
with Spain are in a situation to give jealousy to
either of us. I think it very possible, that
the satisfaction of the court of London may have been
pretended or premature. It is possible also, that
the affairs of Spain in South America may require
them to assume a threatening appearance. I give
you the facts, however, and you will judge whether
they are objects of attention or of mere curiosity.
I have the honor to be, with sentiments of sincere esteem and respect, Sir, your most obedient and most humble servant,
Th: Jefferson.
P. S. I enclose herewith an extract of a letter from the Count de Vergennes to the French ambassador at the Hague, which will make a remarkable chapter in the history of the late revolution here. It is not public, nor should be made so by us. Probably those who have been the victims of it, will some day publish it.
LETTER CXXX.—TO MR. DUMAS, March 29, 1788
TO MR. DUMAS.
Amsterdam, March 29, 1788.
Sir,