generation, unless there come some period of common
danger. Certain it is that if Federation is to
be brought about, the movement must be endogenous.
At present the way is blocked by the opposite commercial
policies of Victoria and Now South Wales. That
practical experience will point out the true solution
of the Free Trade and Protection controversy in Australia
is hardly likely, when one notices the present Protectionist
movements in England; but in the course of years,
one may reasonably expect that a purely Australian
feeling will overcome this stumbling-block, and give
us one tariff for the whole of Australia. Such
a feeling can hardly become sufficiently strong to
effect this object without encroaching considerably
on the ground now occupied by Imperial patriotism.
How true this is, is exemplified by the fact that
the first, and so far the only subject upon which
there has been any Australian, as opposed to provincial
feeling, is Australian cricket, or more properly the
Australian Eleven. And in connection with this
I note that the matches against England are invariably
called International, which is not strictly correct.
The two questions of Federation and Separation are
almost inseparably bound together, though in time
of war a federation would be possible which would
only bind Australia more closely to England. Then
will be the opportunity, not only for Federation,
but for Consolidation, or for Separation. Which
it will be, must depend largely on the course events
take. As I pointed out above, if Australia were
to suffer severely, it might cause Separation; but
if, on the other hand, she felt that her liberties
and well-being were preserved by direct force of British
arms, it is quite probable that an irresistible feeling
in favour of Consolidation might arise, and Lord Carnarvon’s
dreams might be realized, provided the British Government
struck the iron while it was hot.
When Federation takes place, I think there can be
little doubt that it will take a shape similar to
that of the United States; and that in due course
of years Federation, in this shape, will become a fact,
seems to me more than likely. Sir Henry Parkes’s
idea of fusion seems applicable enough to Victoria
and New South Wales, if they could overcome their
economical enmities; but that South Australia or any
part of Queensland should join is impracticable.
A year in New Zealand has been sufficient to convince
me that the abolition of the Provincial system there
has been far from an unmixed benefit. For most
purposes, the colony of New Zealand is merely a geographical
expression. If the distances between Dunedin,
Christchurch, Auckland, and Wellington are sufficient
to mar the fusion of the New Zealand Provinces, how
infinitely more impracticable would a central Government
at Albury be so far as Adelaide and Brisbane are concerned.