[Sidenote:  Bulgaria’s political evolution.]

The accurate gaging by Allied statesmanship of Bulgaria’s political evolution is specially noteworthy because that evolution was both complicated and obscure.  In fact, its roots reach down to the fundamental aspirations of the Bulgarian people.  Bulgaria’s present volte-face is no chance product of panic, but a logical step in her national policy.  Its consequences thus promise to be not ephemeral, but lasting.  An understanding of the factors that brought about the existing situation is therefore worth careful study.

[Sidenote:  The Prussians of the Balkans.]

[Sidenote:  Desire to attain race unity.]

The Bulgarians have often been called the Prussians of the Balkans, and in this characterization there is a large measure of truth.  A hard-working, tenacious folk, capable of great patience, docile to iron discipline, and appreciative of governmental efficiency, the material progress made by the Bulgarians during their forty years of independence is as striking in its way as the similar progress of the German people.  Unfortunately, the Bulgarians resemble the Prussians not only in their virtues, but in their most unlovely qualities as well.  There are the same tactlessness, brutality, overweening ambition, and cynical indifference to the means by which those ambitions are to be attained.  This has shown itself clearly throughout Bulgarian history.  When Bulgaria gained her independence of Turkey in 1878 she started with a perfectly legitimate ambition, the attainment of Bulgarian race-unity through the annexation of those Bulgar-inhabited portions of Macedonia that remained under Turkish rule.  For this the Bulgarian people toiled and taxed themselves without stint.  For this they built up a military machine relatively the most formidable on earth.

[Sidenote:  Projects of the leaders.]

But that was by no means the whole story.  Race-unity may have been the goal for which the simple Bulgarian peasant drilled and delved.  His leaders had more grandiose projects in view.  This was specially true of the Bulgarian monarch, Ferdinand of Saxe-Coburg-Gotha, a man of great political sagacity, but of a cynical unscrupulousness rivaling Machiavelli’s “Prince.”  Ferdinand’s dream was a great Bulgarian empire embracing the entire Balkan Peninsula, with its seat at Constantinople and his exalted self occupying the imperial throne.  This implied both the expulsion of the Turks from Europe and the subjugation of the other Christian Balkan peoples.  In the Balkan War of 1912 Bulgaria’s hour seemed to have struck, but Ferdinand for once overplayed his hand, and Bulgaria’s Balkan rivals beat her on the battle-field and forced her to the humiliating Peace of Bukharest in 1913.

[Sidenote:  the Peace of Bukharest.]

The Peace of Bukharest was not a constructive settlement.  It was an attempt on the part of embittered enemies to punish Bulgaria’s ambitions and keep her permanently down.  The result was most unfortunate.  Playing upon their balked desire for race-unity, Ferdinand bound his subjects to his wider imperialistic designs.  Raging under their humiliations and their failure to redeem their Macedonian brethren, the Bulgarians declared themselves ready to league with the devil if they might thereby tear up the Bukharest parchment and revenge themselves upon their enemies.