there is a greater tendency among the inmates of prisons
to commit offences against prison regulations in summer
than in winter. In what way is this manifest tendency
to be accounted for? If prisoners were free men
living under a variety of conditions, and subject
to a host of complex influences, it would be possible
to adduce all sorts of causes for the existence of
such a phenomenon, and it would be by no means a difficult
matter to find plausible arguments in support of each
and all of them. But the almost absolute similarity
of conditions under which imprisoned men live excludes
at one stroke an enormous mass of complicating factors,
and reduces the question to its simplest elements.
Here are a thousand men living in the same place under
the same rules of discipline, occupied in the same
way, fed on the same materials, with the same amount
of exercise, the same hours of sleep; in fact, with
similarity of life brought almost to the point of
absolute identity; no alteration takes place in these
conditions in summer as compared with winter, yet we
find that there are more offences committed by them
in the hotter season than in the colder. In what
way, except on the ground of temperature, is this
difference to be explained. The economic and
social factors discussed by us in connection with the
increase of crime do not here come into play.
All persons in prison are living under the same social
and economic conditions in hot weather as well as
in cold. The only changes to which they are subjected
are cosmical; cosmical causes are accordingly the
only ones which will account adequately for the facts.
Of these cosmical causes, temperature is by far the
most conspicuous, and it may therefore be concluded
that the increase of prison offences in summer is
attributable to the greater heat.
Seeing, then, that temperature produces these effects
inside prison walls, it is only reasonable to infer
that it produces similar effects on the outside world.
The larger number of offences against prison discipline
which take place in the hot weather have their counterpart
in the larger number of offences committed against
the criminal law during the same season of the year.
The conclusions arrived at with respect to the action
of season are supported by the conclusions already
reached with respect to the action of climate.
In fact, both sets of conclusions support each other;
both of them point to the operation of the same cause.
To any one who may still feel reluctant to admit the
intimate relation between cosmical conditions and
crime I would point out that suicide—a
somewhat similar disorder in the social organism—likewise
increases and diminishes under the influences of temperature.
“We cannot help acknowledging,” says Dr.
Morselli, in his work on “Suicide,” “that
through the whole of Europe the greater number of
suicides happen in the two warm seasons. This
regularity in the annual distribution of suicide is
too great to be attributed to chance or to the human