comparatively very little. But if Ireland bears
any resemblance to what it was some years ago, neither
government nor public opinion can do a great deal;
almost the whole is in the hands of a few leading
people. The populace of Dublin, and some parts
in the North, are in some sort an exception. But
the Primate, Lord Hillsborough, and Lord Hertford have
great sway in the latter; and the former may be considerable
or not, pretty much as the Duke of Leinster pleases.
On the whole, the success of government usually depended
on the bargain made with a very few men. The resident
lieutenancy may have made some change, and given a
strength to government, which formerly, I know, it
had not; still, however, I am of opinion, the former
state, though in other hands perhaps, and in another
manner, still continues. The house you are connected
with is grown into a much greater degree of power
than it had, though it was very considerable, at the
period I speak of. If the D. of L. takes a popular
part, he is sure of the city of Dublin, and he has
a young man attached to him who stands very forward
in Parliament and in profession, and, by what I hear,
with more good-will and less envy than usually attends
so rapid a progress. The movement of one or two
principal men, if they manage the little popular strength
which is to be found in Dublin and Ulster, may do
a great deal, especially when money is to be saved
and taxes to be kept off. I confess I should
despair of your succeeding with any of them, if they
cannot be satisfied that every job which they can
look for on account of carrying this measure would
be just as sure to them for their ordinary support
of government. They are essential to government,
which at this time must not be disturbed, and their
neutrality will be purchased at as high a price as
their alliance offensive and defensive. Now,
as by supporting they may get as much as by betraying
their country, it must be a great leaning to turpitude
that can make them take a part in this war. I
am satisfied, that, if the Duke of Leinster and Lord
Shannon would act together, this business could not
go on; or if either of them took part with Ponsonby,
it would have no better success. Hutchinson’s
situation is much altered since I saw you. To
please Tisdall, he had been in a manner laid aside
at the Castle. It is now to be seen whether he
prefers the gratification of his resentment and his
appetite for popularity, both of which are strong enough
in him, to the advantages which his independence gives
him, of making a new bargain, and accumulating new
offices on his heap. Pray do not be asleep in
this scene of action,—at this time, if I
am right, the principal. The Protestants of Ireland
will be, I think, in general, backward: they
form infinitely the greatest part of the landed and
the moneyed interests; and they will not like to pay.
The Papists are reduced to beasts of burden:
they will give all they have, their shoulders, readily
enough, if they are flattered. Surely the state