be diminished that those of the half million may be
increased? For an increase cannot be made in the
wage rate of one class without a proportionate decrease
in that of others. But the wages of labor in
protected industries are not permanently increased
by protection. Another very important factor
in ascertaining the value of wages is the continuance
or the steadiness of the employment. Two dollars
a day for half the year is no more than a dollar a
day for the whole year. Employment in most protected
industries is spasmodic. In the leading industries
for the past ten years employment has not averaged
more than three fourths of the time, and not at very
high wages. Within the last year manufacturers
of silk, carpets, nails and many other articles of
iron, of various kinds of glassware and furniture,
and coal producers have shut down their works for
a part of the time, or reduced the hours of labor.
Production has been too great. To stop this and
prevent the reduction of profits through increasing
competition, the first thing done is to diminish the
production, thus turning employes out of employment.
Wages are diminished or stopped until times are flush
again. With the time estimated in which the laborers
are not at work, the average rate of wages for the
ten years preceding 1880 did not equal the wages in
similar industries for the ten years preceding 1860
under a revenue tariff. Indeed, in many branches
the wages have not been so high as those received
by the pauper labor, so-called, in Europe. But
it is manifest that the wages in these industries
cannot for any long period be higher than the average
rate in the community, for, if the wages be higher,
labor will crowd into the employments thus favored
until the rate is brought down to the general level.
So true is this, that it is admitted by many protectionists
that wages are not higher in the protected industries
than in others.
Thirdly, the effect of protection is disastrous to
most of the protected industries themselves.
We have seen that many of them have in recent years
been compelled to diminish production. The cause
of this is manifest. Production confines them
to the American market. The high prices they
are compelled to pay for protected materials which
enter into the manufacture of their products disable
them from going into the foreign market. The
profits which they make under the first impulse of
protection invite others into the same business.
As a result, therefore, more goods are made than the
American market can consume. Prices go down to
some extent through the competition, but rarely under
the cost of production, increased, as we have seen,
by the enhanced price of material required. The
losses threatened by such competition are sought to
be averted by the diminution of production. Combinations
of those interested are formed to stop work or reduce
it until the stock on hand has been consumed.
Production then begins again and continues until the