advised every Italian prince to abstain from the conflict,
and it is further as certain as anything can well be,
that his influence, exercised through Lord Normanby,
alone averted French intervention in August 1848,
when the desperate state of things made the Italians
willing to accept foreign aid. What would have
happened if the French had intervened it is interesting
to speculate, but impossible to decide. Their
help was not desired, except as a last resource, by
any party in Italy, nor by any man of note except Manin.
The republicans wished Italy to owe her liberation
to herself; Charles Albert wished her to owe it to
him. The King also feared a republican propaganda,
and was uneasy, not without reason, about Savoy and
Nice. Lamartine would probably have been satisfied
with the former, but it is doubtful if Charles Albert,
though capable of giving up his crown for Italy, would
have been capable of renouncing the cradle of his
race. When Lamartine was succeeded by Cavaignac,
perhaps Nice would have been demanded as well as Savoy.
That both the King and Mazzini were right in mistrusting
the sentiments of the French Government, is amply
testified by a letter written by Jules Bastide to the
French representative at Turin, in which the Minister
of Foreign Affairs speaks of the danger to France
of the formation of a strong monarchy at the foot
of the Alps, that would tend to assimilate the rest
of Italy, adding the significant words: ’We
could admit the unity of Italy on the principle and
in the form of a federation of independent states,
each balancing the other, but never a unity which placed
the whole of Italy under the dominion of one of these
states.’
Whether, in spite of all this, a political mistake
was not made in not accepting French aid when it was
first offered (in the spring of 1848) must remain
an open question. When the French came eleven
years later, they were actuated by no purer motives,
but who would say that Cavour, instead of seeking,
should have refused the French alliance?
One other point has still to be noticed: the
proposal made by Austria in the month of May to give
up Lombardy unconditionally if she might keep Venetia,
which was promised a separate administration and a
national army. Nothing shows the state of mind
then prevailing in a more distinct light than the
scorn with which this offer was everywhere treated.
Lord Palmerston declined to mediate on such a basis
‘because there was no chance of the proposal
being entertained,’ which proved correct, as
when it was submitted to the Provisional Government
of Milan, it was not even thought worth taking into
consideration. No one would contemplate the sacrifice
of Venice by a new Campo Formio.