a loss to producers of 7 per cent., which is equivalent
to a tax on the exported productions of India of seven
millions. The result of course is, that to get
little more than one million and a half into the Treasury,
the Government proposes to take seven millions out
of the pockets of the people. Now I have no wish
to pose as what is commonly called an expert, and
I naturally shrink from any idea of criticising that
long chain of financial luminaries which, beginning
at the Council Chamber at Calcutta, stretches through
the rooms of the Currency Committee which recently
sat in London, right up to that Cabinet over which
the greatest of financial luminaries presides, but
I trust I may be allowed to go as far as to say that
the arrangement made by Mr. Gladstone’s Government
which is the body ultimately responsible—does
not seem to be of a very alluring character, as it
entails on India, viewed as a whole, a loss of L5,500,000.
And this cheering result has apparently been viewed
with such satisfaction by the financial experts, that
it is to be regarded as merely a small instalment
of the blessings they have in store for the happy toilers
whose destinies they have been empowered to influence.
For if the policy of taking five and a half millions
sterling out of the pockets of the people in order
to put about one million and a half into the financial
till is a good one, the extension of the process,
up to certain limits, must be equally so. For
such an extension the Indian Finance Minister is evidently
prepared, as one may see by looking again at the sentence
I have quoted from the speech, in which he declares
that “it is not intended to do more at present
(the italics are mine) than aim at a rate of 1s. 4d.”
This, coupled with statements subsequently made, and
by what the Currency Committee has suggested as to
a farther increase if it should seem necessary, shows
that the Government evidently contemplates a rise to
1s. 6d.; and indeed this must obviously be the case,
as the anticipated gain from a rise to 1s. 4d., when
put against the probable loss on opium, and the allowances
to be made to Government servants to compensate them
for the loss they sustain on home remittances, would
go far to swallow up the gain to the State from a
1s. 4d. rate. Supposing, then, that the Government
should be able to carry out its project of a 1s. 6d.
rate, the blessings previously showered on the producers
will be trebled; so, of course, will be the gain to
the Exchequer; and the account will then in round
figures stand thus:—gain to the Exchequer
on home remittances, L4,500,000; loss to the producers,
L21,000,000; or, in other words, the levy of an export
tax of 21 per cent. on all the productions of India,[66]
and a total annual loss to India considered as a whole
of L16,500,000 sterling. This seems pretty well
for a beginning, but it is really a very small part
of the results that may with certainty be anticipated
from the measure, which, as Sir David Barbour says,
will have far-reaching effects. Of this, as we
shall see, there can be no doubt whatever. Of
the direct loss we can form a rough calculation; the
indirect losses are indeed incalculable. But
let me proceed.