made a descent on your continent under circumstances
which made it essential to the maintenance of your
national freedom that you should move an army through
Canada, you would ask our leave to do so, and take
it by force if we did not grant it. You may reasonably
suspect, even if all our statesmen raise a shriek
of denial, that we should take a similar liberty under
similar circumstances in the teeth of all the scraps
of paper in our Foreign Office dustbin. You see,
I am frank with you, and fair, I hope, to Germany.
But a right of way is not a right of conquest; and
even the right of way was not, as the Imperial Chancellor
imagined, a matter of life and death at all, but a
militarist hallucination, and one that has turned
out, so far, a military mistake. In short, there
was no such case of overwhelming necessity as would
have made the denial of a right of way to the German
Army equivalent to a refusal to save German independence
from destruction, and therefore to an act of war against
her, justifying a German conquest of Belgium.
You can therefore leave the abstract question of international
rights of way quite unprejudiced by your action.
You can leave every question between the belligerents
fully open, and yet, in the common interest of the
world, ask Germany to clear out of Belgium, into France
or across the Channel, if she can, back home if she
can force no other passage, but at all events out
of Belgium. A like request would, of course, be
addressed to Britain and to France at the same time.
The technical correctness of our diplomatic position
as to Belgium may be unimpeachable; but as the effect
of our shells on Belgium is precisely the same as that
of the German shells, and as by fighting on Belgian
soil we are doing her exactly the same injury that
we should have done her if the violation of her neutrality
had been initiated by us instead of by Germany, we
could not decently refuse to fall in with a general
evacuation.
A Certain Result of Intervention.
At all events, your intervention could not fail to
produce at least the result that even if the belligerents
refused to comply, your request would leave them in
an entirely new and very unpleasant relation to public
opinion. No matter how powerful a State is, it
is not above feeling the vast difference between doing
something that nobody condemns and something that
everybody condemns except the interested parties.
That difference alone would be well worth your pains.
But it is by no means a foregone conclusion that a
blank refusal would be persisted in. Germany
must be aware that the honor of England is now so bound
up with the complete redemption of Belgium from the
German occupation that to keep Antwerp and Brussels
she must take Portsmouth and London. France is
no less deeply engaged. You can judge better than
I what chance Germany now has, or can persuade herself
she has, of exhausting or overwhelming her western
enemies without ruining herself in the attempt.