In the meantime we are in a state of great prosperity:  high wages, great accumulation of capital, low prices of consumable articles, and high prices of stocks and land.

Ever yours,

N.W.  SENIOR.

February 27, 1853.

My dear Tocqueville,—­I profit by Sir H. Ellis’s visit to write, not venturing to trust the post.

We are grieved to hear that both you and Madame de Tocqueville have been suffering. We have borne this disagreeable winter better than perhaps we had a right to expect; but still we have suffered.

Mrs. Grote tells me that you rather complain that the English newspapers approve of the marriage;[5] a marriage which you all disapprove.

The fact is that we like the marriage precisely because you dislike it.  We are above all things desirous that the present tyranny should end as quickly as possible.  It can end only by the general alienation of the French people from the tyrant; and every fault that he commits delights us, because it is a step towards his fall.  To say the truth, I wonder that you do not take the same view, and rejoice over his follies as leading to his destruction.

Our new Government is going on well as yet.  As the Opposition has turned law reformers, we expect law reform to go on as rapidly as is consistent with the slowly-innovating temper of the English.  Large measures respecting charities, education, secondary punishments, and the transfer of land are in preparation, and the Chancellor of the Exchequer is at work on the difficult—­I suspect the insoluble—­problem of an equitable income tax.  I foresee, however, a rock ahead.

This is reform of the constituencies.  Lord John Russell, very sillily, promised two years ago a new Reform Bill.

Still more sillily he introduced one last year, and was deservedly turned out for it.

Still more sillily the present Government has accepted his responsibility, and is pledged to bring in a measure of reform next year.

I have been trying to persuade them to pave the way by a Commission of Inquiry, being certain that the facts on which we ought to agitate are imperfectly known.  But Lord John is unfavourable, and the other Ministers do not venture to control the leader of the House of Commons.  There will, therefore, be no previous inquiry; at least only the indirect one which the Government can make for itself.  The measure will be concocted in secrecy, will be found open to unforeseen objections; it will be thrown out in the House, and will excite no enthusiasm in the country.  If the Government dissolve, the new Parliament will probably be still more opposed to it than the present Parliament will be; and the Government, being beaten again, will resign.

Such is my prophecy.

Prenez en acte, and we will talk it over in May 1854.

I hope to be in Paris either for the Easter or for the Whitsun vacation—­that is, either about the 24th of March or the 5th of May next—­and I trust to find you and Madame de Tocqueville, if not quite flourishing, at least quite convalescent.