you find is hard and green, you say, “All hard
and green apples are sour; this apple is hard and
green, therefore this apple is sour.” That
train of reasoning is what logicians call a syllogism,
and has all its various parts and terms,—its
major premiss, its minor premiss and its conclusion.
And, by the help of further reasoning, which, if drawn
out, would have to be exhibited in two or three other
syllogisms, you arrive at your final determination,
“I will not have that apple.” So that,
you see, you have, in the first place, established
a law by induction, and upon that you have founded
a deduction, and reasoned out the special particular
case. Well now, suppose, having got your conclusion
of the law, that at some time afterwards, you are
discussing the qualities of apples with a friend:
you will say to him, “It is a very curious thing,—but
I find that all hard and green apples are sour!”
Your friend says to you, “But how do you know
that?” You at once reply, “Oh, because
I have tried them over and over again, and have always
found them to be so.” Well, if we were
talking science instead of common sense, we should
call that an experimental verification. And, if
still opposed, you go further, and say, “I have
heard from the people in Somersetshire and Devonshire,
where a large number of apples are grown, that they
have observed the same thing. It is also found
to be the case in Normandy, and in North America.
In short, I find it to be the universal experience
of mankind wherever attention has been directed to
the subject.” Whereupon, your friend, unless
he is a very unreasonable man, agrees with you, and
is convinced that you are quite right in the conclusion
you have drawn. He believes, although perhaps
he does not know he believes it, that the more extensive
verifications are,—that the more frequently
experiments have been made, and results of the same
kind arrived at,—that the more varied the
conditions under which the same results are attained,
the more certain is the ultimate conclusion, and he
disputes the question no further. He sees that
the experiment has been tried under all sorts of conditions,
as to time, place, and people, with the same result;
and he says with you, therefore, that the law you
have laid down must be a good one, and he must believe
it.
In science we do the same thing;—the philosopher
exercises precisely the same faculties, though in
a much more delicate manner. In scientific inquiry
it becomes a matter of duty to expose a supposed law
to every possible kind of verification, and to take
care, moreover, that this is done intentionally, and
not left to a mere accident, as in the case of the
apples. And in science, as in common life, our
confidence in a law is in exact proportion to the
absence of variation in the result of our experimental
verifications. For instance, if you let go your
grasp of an article you may have in your hand, it
will immediately fall to the ground. That is
a very common verification of one of the best established