over L700 millions, are not comparing like with like.
The statement is perfectly true on paper, and expressed
in pounds sterling, but then the pound sterling of
to-day is an entirely different article from the pre-war
pound sterling. Owing to the system of finance
pursued by our Government, and by every other Government
now engaged in the war, of providing for a large part
of the country’s goods by the mere manufacture
of new currency and credit, the buying power of the
pound sterling has been greatly depreciated.
By multiplying the amount of legal tender currency
in the shape of Treasury notes, of token currency
in the shape of silver and bronze coinage, and of
banking currency through the bank deposits which are
swollen by the banks’ investments in Government
securities, the Government has increased the amount
of currency passing from hand to hand in the community
while, at the same time, the volume of goods to be
purchased has not been increased with anything like
the same rapidity, and may, in fact, have been, actually
decreased. The inevitable result has been a great
flood of new money with a greatly depreciated value.
Index numbers show a rise of over 100 per cent. in
the average prices of commodities during the war.
It is, however, perhaps unfair to assume that the
buying power of the pound has actually been reduced
by a half, but it is certainly safe to say that it
has been reduced by a third. Therefore, the revenue
raised by the Government during the past year has
to be reduced by at least a third before we are justified
in comparing our war achievements with the Government’s
pre-war revenue. If we take one-third off L707
millions it reduces the total raised during the past
year by revenue to about L470 millions, less than
two and a half times the pre-war revenue.
From another point of view our satisfaction with the
tremendous figures of the past year’s revenue
has to be to some extent qualified. The great
elasticity shown by the big increase of actual achievement
over the Budget estimate has been almost entirely in
revenue items which cannot be expected to continue
to serve us when the war is over. The total increase
in the receipts over estimate amounts to L69 millions,
and of this L20 millions was provided by the Excess
Profits Duty, a fiscal weapon which was invented during
the war, and for the purpose of the war. It has
always been assumed that it would be discontinued
as soon as the war was over, and if it should not be
discontinued its after-war effect is likely to be very
unfortunate at a time when our industrial effort requires
all the encouragement that it can get. Another
L25 millions was provided by miscellaneous revenue,
and this windfall again must be largely due to operations
connected with the war. Finally, the L15-1/2 millions
by which the income tax exceeded the estimate must
again be largely due to inflation and extravagance
on the part of the Government, which, by manufacturing
money, and then spending it recklessly, puts big profits
and big incomes into the hands of those who have stocks
of goods to sell or who are in a position to produce
them.