advanced for active operations, and that his objections
were well founded it is impossible to deny. The
prospect of success depended much upon the weather.
Virginia, covered in many places with dense forests,
crossed by many rivers, and with most indifferent
communications, is a most difficult theatre of war,
and the amenities of the Virginian spring are not to
be lightly faced. Napoleon’s fifth element,
“mud,” is a most disturbing factor in
military calculations. It is related that a Federal
officer, sent out to reconnoitre a road in a certain
district of Virginia, reported that the road was there,
but that he guessed “the bottom had fallen out.”
Moreover, McClellan had reason to believe that the
Confederate army at Manassas was more than double
its actual strength. His intelligence department,
controlled, not by a trained staff officer, but by
a well-known detective, estimated Johnston’s
force at 115,000 men. In reality, including the
detachment on the Shenandoah, it at no time exceeded
50,000. But for all this there was no reason whatever
for absolute inactivity. The capture of the batteries
which barred the entrance to the Potomac, the defeat
of the Confederate detachments along the river, the
occupation of Winchester or of Leesburg, were all
feasible operations. By such means the impatience
of the Northern people might have been assuaged.
A few successes, even on a small scale, would have
raised the morale of the troops and have trained them
to offensive movements. The general would have
retained the confidence of the Administration, and
have secured the respect of his opponents. Jackson
had set him the example. His winter expeditions
had borne fruit. The Federal generals opposed
to him gave him full credit for activity. “Much
dissatisfaction was expressed by the troops,”
says one of Banks’ brigadiers, “that Jackson
was permitted to get away from Winchester without
a fight, and but little heed was paid to my assurances
that this chieftain would be apt, before the war closed,
to give us an entertainment up to the utmost of our
aspirations."* (* General G.H. Gordon.)
It was not only of McClellan’s inactivity that the Government complained. At the end of February he submitted a plan of operations to the President, and with that plan Mr. Lincoln totally disagreed. McClellan, basing his project on the supposition that Johnston had 100,000 men behind formidable intrenchments at Manassas, blocking the road to Richmond, proposed to transfer 150,000 men to the Virginia coast by sea; and landing either at Urbanna on the Rappahannock, or at Fortress Monroe on the Yorktown peninsula, to intervene between the Confederate army and Richmond, and possibly to capture the Southern capital before Johnston could get back to save it.