few years before the war it is estimated that England
was placing some 200 millions a year in her colonies
and dependencies and in foreign countries. Old-fashioned
folk who still believed in the industrial strength
and financial stability of their native land waited
for the reaction which was bound to follow when some
of the countries into which we poured capital so freely,
began to find a difficulty in paying the interest;
and just before the war this reaction began to happen,
in consequence of the default in Mexico and the financial
embarrassments of Brazil. Mexico had shown that
the political stability which investors had believed
it to have achieved was a very thin veneer and a series
of revolutions had plunged that hapless land into
anarchy. Brazil was suffering from a heavy fall
in the price of one of her chief staple products, rubber,
owing to the competition of plantations in Ceylon,
Straits Settlements and elsewhere, and was finding
difficulty in meeting the interest on the big load
of debt that the free facilities given by English and
French investors had encouraged her to pile up.
She had promised retrenchment at home, and another
big loan was being hatched to tide her over her difficulties—or
perhaps increase them—when the war cloud
began to gather and she has had to resort for the
second time in her history to the indignity of a funding
scheme. By this “new way of paying old debts”
she does not pay interest to her bondholders in cash,
but gives them promises to pay instead, and so increases
the burden of her debt, which she hopes some day to
be able to shoulder again, by resuming payments in
cash.
Mexico and Brazil were not the only countries that
were showing signs, in 1914, of having indulged too
freely in the opportunities given them by the eagerness
of English and French investors to place money abroad.
It looked as if in many parts of the earth a time of
financial disillusionment was dawning, the probable
result of which would have been a strong reaction
in favour of investment at home. Then came the
war with a short sharp spell of financial chaos followed
by a halcyon period for young countries, which enabled
them to sell their products at greatly increased prices
to the warring powers and so to meet their debt charges
with an ease that they had never dreamt of, and even
to find themselves lending, out of the abundance of
their war profits, money to their creditors.
America has led the way with a loan of L100 millions
to France and England, and Canada has placed 10 millions
of credit at the disposal of the Mother Country.
There can be little doubt that if the war goes on,
and the neutral countries continue to pile up profits
by selling food and war materials to the belligerents,
many of them will find it convenient to lend some
of their gains to their customers. America has
also been taking the place of France and England as
international moneylenders by financing Argentina;
and a great company has been formed in New York to