That, since the bounty was so fixed, the price of money has been much diminished; so that the bounty does not operate so far as when it was first fixed, but the price at which it ceases, though nominally the same, has, in effect and in reality, gradually diminished.
It is difficult to discover any reason why that bounty, which has produced so much good, and has hitherto produced no harm, should be withdrawn or abated. It is possible, that if it were reduced lower, it would still be the motive of agriculture, and the cause of plenty; but why we should desert experience for conjecture, and exchange a known for a possible good, will not easily be discovered. If, by a balance of probabilities, in which a grain of dust may turn the scale—or, by a curious scheme of calculation, in which, if one postulate in a thousand be erroneous, the deduction which promises plenty may end in famine;— if, by a specious mode of uncertain ratiocination, the critical point at which the bounty should stop, might seem to be discovered, I shall still continue to believe that it is more safe to trust what we have already tried; and cannot but think bread a product of too much importance to be made the sport of subtilty, and the topick of hypothetical disputation.
The advantage of the bounty is evident and irrefragable. Since the bounty was given, multitudes eat wheat who did not eat it before, and yet the price of wheat has abated. What more is to be hoped from any change of practice? An alteration cannot make our condition better, and is, therefore, very likely to make it worse[2].
FOOTNOTES:
[1] These Considerations, for which we are indebted
to Mr. Malone, who
published them in 1808, or
rather to his liberal publisher, Mr.
Payne, were, in the opinion
of Mr. Malone, written in November,
1766, when the policy of the
parliamentary bounty on the exportation
of corn became naturally a
subject of discussion. The harvest in
that year had been so deficient,
and corn had risen to so high a
price, that in the months
of September and October there had been
many insurrections in the
midland counties, to which Dr. Johnson
alludes; and which were of
so alarming a kind, that it was necessary
to repress them by military
force.
[2] This little essay on the Corn Laws was written
by Dr. Johnson, which
is in the very best style
of that great master of reason, so early
as the year 1766; and at a
period when subjects of this kind were
but imperfectly understood,
even by those who had devoted themselves
to their study. It is
truly admirable to see with what vigorous
alacrity his powerful mind
could apply itself to an investigation so
foreign from his habitual
occupations. We do not know that a more
sound, enlightened argument,
in favour of the bounty on exportation,