always fares ill in the world, or on the other hand
that whoso hearkens diligently to the divine voice,
and observes all the commandments to do them, shall
be blessed in his basket and his store and all the
work of his hand. The claims of morality to our
allegiance, so far as its precepts are solidly established,
rest on the same positive base as our faith in the
truth of physical laws. Moral principles, when
they are true, are at bottom only registered generalisations
from experience. They record certain uniformities
of antecedence and consequence in the region of human
conduct Want of faith in the persistency of these
uniformities is only a little less fatuous in the
moral order than a corresponding want of faith would
instantly disclose itself to be in the purely physical
order. In both orders alike there is only too
much of this kind of fatuousness, this readiness to
believe that for once in our favour the stream shall
flow up hill, that we may live in miasmatic air unpoisoned,
that a government may depress the energy, the self-reliance,
the public spirit of its citizens, and yet be able
to count on these qualities whenever the government
itself may have broken down, and left the country
to make the best of such resources as are left after
so severe and prolonged a drain. This is the
sense in which morality is the nature of things.
The system of the Second Empire was in the same sense
an immoral system. Unless all the lessons of
human experience were futile, and all the principles
of political morality mere articles of pedantry, such
a system must inevitably bring disaster, as we might
have seen that it was sowing the seeds of disaster.
Yet because the catastrophe lingered, opinion in England
began to admit the possibility of evil being for this
once good, and to treat any reference to the moral
and political principles which condemned the imperial
system, and all systems like it, beyond hope or appeal,
as simply the pretext of a mutinous or Utopian impatience.
This, however, is only one of the more superficial influences which have helped and fallen in with the working of profounder causes of weakened aspiration and impoverished moral energy, and of the substitution of latitudinarian acquiescence and faltering conviction for the whole-hearted assurance of better times. Of these deeper causes, the most important in the intellectual development of the prevailing forms of thought and sentiment is the growth of the Historic Method. Let us consider very shortly how the abuse of this method, and an unauthorised extension and interpretation of its conclusions, are likely to have had something to do with the enervation of opinion.