of the occurrence of troubles in Russian Poland,—the
Polish question, after having been kept entirely out
of sight for years, having suddenly forced itself on
the attention of Europe’s monarchs, to the no
small increase of their perplexities. Here are
four great questions that are intimately connected
with Russia’s interests, any one of which, if
pressed by circumstances to a decision, would probably
plunge her into a long and costly war, one of the
effects of which would be to postpone the emancipation
of the serfs for many years. No empire could effect
an internal change like that which the Czar has begun,
and at the same time carry on a war that would require
immense expenditures and the active services of a
million of men. The Czar is in constant danger
of being “coerced” into a foreign war;
and the enemies of emancipation would throw all their
weight on the side of the war faction, even if they
should feel but little interest in the fortunes of
either party to a contest into which Russia might
be plunged. Leaving aside all the questions mentioned
but that of Turkey, that alone is ever threatening
to bring Russia into conflict with some of her neighbors.
Neither England nor Austria could allow her to have
her will of Turkey, no matter how excellent an opportunity
might be presented by the death of the Sultan, or
some similar event, to strike an effectual blow at
that tottering, doomed empire. So that war ever
hangs over the Czar from that side, unless he should,
for the sake of the domestic reform he so much desiderates,
disregard the traditions and abandon the purpose of
his house. Were he to do so, it would be a splendid
example of self-denial, and such as few men who have
reigned have ever been capable of affording either
to the admiration or the derision of the world.
But could he safely do it? Then it does not altogether
depend either upon the Czar or upon his subjects whether
he or they shall preserve the peace of their country.
Suppose Poland to rise,—and she has been
becoming very wakeful of late,—then war
would be forced upon Russia; and that war might be
extended over most of Continental Europe. A Polish
war could hardly fail to draw Prussia and Austria
into it, they being almost as much interested in the
maintenance of the partition as Russia; and France
could scarcely be kept out of such a contest, she having
been the patron of Poland ever since the partition
was effected.
Considering the matter in its various bearings, and
noting how inflammable is the condition of the world,
and observing that a Russian war would be fatal to
emancipation, we can but say, that the freedom of
the serfs is something that may be hoped for, but which
we should not speak of as assured. Alexander
II. wishes to complete his work, but he is only an
instrument in the hands of Fate, and things may so
fall out as to cover the present fair prospect with
those clouds and that darkness in which have been
forever enveloped some of the best undertakings for
the promotion of man’s welfare. We may hope
and pray for a good ending to the reform that has
been commenced, but it is not without fear and trembling
that we do so.