sale, especially during the first years. Although,
for this reason, it would be impossible to ascertain
what proportion the impost on the tree would then
bear with regard to the value of the fruit, the error
that might accrue would be of little moment, as long
as precautions were taken to adopt a very low rate
of comparison, and a proportionably equitable one
as the basis of taxation. Supposing then that
the price of the bonga should decline from twenty-five
reals, at which it is now sold in the monopoly stores,
to fifteen reals per thousand, in the general market,
and a tax of one-fourth real should be laid on each
tree valued at two hundred bonga nuts, it is clear
that this would be equal to no more than 8 1/2%; or,
what is the same, the tax would be in the proportion
one to twelve with the proceeds of each tree, and
the more the value of the fruit was raised, the more
would the rate of contribution diminish. It ought
at the same time to be observed that, under the above
estimate, that is, supposing the price of the article
to remain at fifteen reals, the 8 1/2% at which rate
the tax is regulated, would not perhaps exceed five
or six per cent on a more minute calculation; in the
first place, because at the time of making out the
returns of the trees, [Exception of immature and aged
trees.] those only ought to be set down which are in
their full vigor, excluding such as through the want
or excess of age only yield a small proportion of
fruit; and in the second, because in the numbers registered,
the trees would only be rated at two hundred although
it is well known they usually yield three hundred,
in order by this means the better to avoid all motives
of complaint. In this point of view, and by adopting
similar rules of probability, it seems to me that
the government would not risk much by an attempt to
change the present system into a tax levied on the
tree itself, on a plane similar to the one above proposed;
more particularly by doing it in a temporary manner,
and rendering it completely subservient to the corrections
subsequent experience might suggest in this particular.
[Difficulty of estimating probable revenue.] The difficulty
being, in this manner, overcome, with regard to the
prudent determination of the rate at which the proprietor
of the bonga plantations ought to contribute, let
us now proceed to estimate, by approximation, the
annual sum that would thus be obtained. As, however,
this operation is unfortunately complicated, and in
great measure depends on the previous knowledge of
the total number of trees liable to the tax proposed,
details with which we are at not present prepared,
it is impossible to come at any very accurate results.
All that can be done is to endeavor to demonstrate,
in general terms, the great increase the revenue would
experience by the adoption of the new plan, and the
real advantage resulting from it to the contributors
themselves, all which may be easily deduced from the
following calculation.