the law of causality, because it discovered the causes
which enable us to foresee their course. Thus
weather prognosis has made wonderful progress by the
help of a network of telegraphically connected meteorological
stations, which succeeded in demonstrating the connection
between cause and effect in the case of hurricanes,
as well as of any other physical phenomenon.
It is evident that the idea of accident, applied to
physical nature, is unscientific. Every physical
phenomenon is the necessary effect of the causes that
determined it beforehand. If those causes are
known to us, we have the conviction that that phenomenon
is necessary, is fate, and, if we do not know them,
we think it is accidental. The same is true of
human phenomena. But since we do not know the
internal and external causes in the majority of cases,
we pretend that they are free phenomena, that is to
say, that they are not determined necessarily by their
causes. Hence the spiritualistic conception of
the free will implies that every human being, in spite
of the fact that their internal and external conditions
are necessarily predetermined, should be able to come
to a deliberate decision by the mere fiat of his or
her free will, so that, even though the sum of all
the causes demands a no, he or she can decide in favor
of yes, and vice versa. Now, who is there that
thinks, when deliberating some action, what are the
causes that determine his choice? We can justly
say that the greater part of our actions are determined
by habit, that we make up our minds almost from custom,
without considering the reason for or against.
When we get up in the morning we go about our customary
business quite automatically, we perform it as a function
in which we do not think of a free will. We think
of that only in unusual and grave cases, when we are
called upon to make some special choice, the so-called
voluntary deliberation, and then we weigh the reasons
for or against; we ponder, we hesitate what to do.
Well, even in such cases, so little depends on our
will in the deliberations which we are about to take
that if any one were to ask us one minute before we
have decided what we are going to do, we should not
know what we were going to decide. So long as
we are undecided, we cannot foresee what we are going
to decide; for under the conditions in which we live
that part of the psychic process takes place outside
of our consciousness. And since we do not know
its causes, we cannot tell what will be its effects.
Only after we have come to a certain decision can
we imagine that it was due to our voluntary action.
But shortly before we could not tell, and that proves
that it did not depend on us alone. Suppose, for
instance, that you have decided to play a joke on
a fellow-student, and that you carry it out.
He takes it unkindly. You are surprised, because
that is contrary to his habits and your expectations.
But after a while you learn that your friend had received
bad news from home on the preceding morning and was