the House of Commons that “the outcry which was
made in this matter—I think it a very ill-informed
outcry—made it exceedingly difficult for
us to get the terms we required."[2] And Sir Clinton
Dawkins wrote in a letter to Herr Gwinner, the chief
of the Deutsche Bank: “The fact is that
the business has become involved in politics here,
and has been sacrificed to the very violent and bitter
feeling against Germany exhibited by the majority
of newspapers and shared in by a large number of people."[3]
British co-operation, therefore, failed, as French
and Russian had failed. The Germans, however,
persevered with their enterprise, now a purely German
one, and ultimately with success. Their differences
with Russia were arranged by an agreement about the
Turko-Persian railways signed in 1911. An agreement
with France, with regard to the railways of Asiatic
Turkey, was signed in February 1914, and one with England
(securing our interests on the Persian Gulf) in June
of the same year. Thus just before the war broke
out this thorny question had, in fact, been settled
to the satisfaction of all the Powers concerned.
And on this two comments may be made. First,
that the long friction, the press campaign, the rivalry
of economic and political interests, had contributed
largely to the European tension. Secondly, that
in spite of that, the question did get settled, and
by diplomatic means. On this subject, at any rate,
war was not “inevitable.” Further,
it seems clear that the British Government, so far
from “hemming-in” Germany in this matter,
were ready from the first to accept, if not to welcome,
her enterprise, subject to their quite legitimate
and necessary preoccupation with their position on
the Persian Gulf. It was the British Press and
what lay behind it that prevented the co-operation
of British capital. Meantime the economic penetration
of Asia Minor by Germany had been accompanied by a
political penetration at Constantinople. Already,
as early as 1898, the Kaiser had announced at Damascus
that the “three hundred millions of Mussulmans
who live scattered over the globe may be assured that
the German Emperor will be at all times their friend.”
This speech, made immediately after the Armenian massacres,
has been very properly reprobated by all who are revolted
at such atrocities. But the indignation of Englishmen
must be tempered by shame when they remember that
it was their own minister, still the idol of half the
nation, who reinstated Turkey after the earlier massacres
in Bulgaria and put back the inhabitants of Macedonia
for another generation under the murderous oppression
of the Turks. The importance of the speech in
the history of Europe is that it signalled the advent
of German influence in the Near East. That influence
was strengthened on the Bosphorus after the Turkish
revolution of 1908, in spite of the original Anglophil
bias of the Young Turks, and as some critics maintain,
in consequence of the blundering of the British representatives.