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Asimov, who has written a virtual galaxy of excellent popular science books,… achieves something valuable [in Extraterrestrial Civilizations] by making a fresh, rigorously statistical analysis of the universe as we "know" it. In a sequence of short chapters he discusses possible habitable planetary systems that may be found in the cosmos; by well-argued processes of elimination he narrows his analysis down to a startling statement: "The number of planets in our galaxy on which a technological civilization is now in being" is roughly 530,000. For all the mathematical nature of his approach, Asimov's speculations are intriguing, although his closing guesswork on far-future cosmic exploration seems a papering over of our current state of ignorance.
A review of "Extraterrestrial Civilizations," in Publishers Weekly (reprinted from the April 16, 1979 issue of Publishers Weekly, published by R. R. Bowker Company; copyright © 1979 by R. R. Bowker Company), Vol. 215, No. 16, April 16, 1979, p. 65.
This section contains 147 words (approx. 1 page at 300 words per page) |
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